Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Wright wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wright 47.7% vs Gaustad 57.4% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 82.1%
Defensive zone
Wright 62.8%
Neutral zone
Wright 72.0%
Result
James Wright favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Wright
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Wright
Gaustad
Last 8: Wright 2-6 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
6
Wright
Gaustad
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wright
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (155)
59.3% (913)
-9.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
72.2% (18)
-72.2%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (113)
52.8% (269)
-9.4%
On power play, Gaustad has a +72.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Wright is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Wright shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Wright
Gaustad
Home
48.9% (133)
58.6% (604)
Away
44.9% (136)
57.4% (596)
By Period
Wright
Gaustad
P1
49.5%
61.5%
P2
41.4%
55.7%
P3
50.0%
56.6%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wright
50.0%▲
46.5%
46.8%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 14:34 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 08:23 | Neutral | James Wright |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 03:04 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 3 | 06:04 | Neutral | James Wright |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 1 | 16:25 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 1 | 00:04 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |