Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). Stoll wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.3% vs Gaustad 57.9% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Stoll 66.3%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 61.3%
Neutral zone
Stoll 50.5%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Stoll
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Stoll
Gaustad
Last 10: Stoll 4-6 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
4
1
Stoll
Gaustad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
10
Stoll
Gaustad
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (539)
59.8% (353)
-1.4%
Power Play
55.6% (63)
66.7% (15)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (144)
58.0% (81)
-10.8%
On power play, Gaustad has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (539).
Stoll shoots right. Gaustad is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Stoll
Gaustad
Home
57.3% (358)
62.1% (195)
Away
54.9% (388)
57.9% (254)
By Period
Stoll
Gaustad
P1
47.8%
59.4%
P2
59.5%
58.1%
P3
58.1%
61.3%
OT
85.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.8%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
56.0%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2013 | 3 | 07:15 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 2 | 14:41 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 14:59 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 17:50 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 17:35 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 01:20 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 1 | 05:23 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 16:58 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |