Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 48.3% vs Gaustad 57.4% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 82.8%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 82.9%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 58.5%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Skinner
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Skinner
Gaustad
Last 6: Skinner 3-3 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
2
0
Skinner
Gaustad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Skinner
Gaustad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Skinner
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (45)
59.3% (913)
-10.4%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
72.2% (18)
-55.5%
On power play, Gaustad has a +55.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Skinner is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Skinner shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Skinner
Gaustad
Home
44.7% (38)
58.6% (604)
Away
46.2% (13)
57.4% (596)
By Period
Skinner
Gaustad
P1
43.8%
61.5%
P2
36.4%
55.7%
P3
66.7%
56.6%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
62.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
45.1%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2014 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 2 | 01:34 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 1 | 01:23 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |