Jesse Winchester vs Paul Gaustad
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on neutral-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winchester 53.7% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Winchester 74.4%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 80.1%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 52.8%
Result
Jesse Winchester favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Winchester
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Winchester
Gaustad
Last 10: Winchester 5-5 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Winchester
Gaustad
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Winchester
Gaustad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
4
5
Winchester
Gaustad
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winchester
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (716)
58.2% (4,334)
-3.0%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
65.4% (188)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (175)
54.8% (1,290)
-3.4%
On power play, Gaustad has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Winchester is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Winchester shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Home / Away
Winchester
Gaustad
Home
54.7% (459)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
53.4% (451)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Winchester
Gaustad
P1
47.8%
58.2%
P2
57.8%
56.4%
P3
56.2%
58.3%
OT
57.1%
66.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winchester
44.0%▼
50.5%
54.1%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2011 | 1 | 01:41 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 1 | 01:36 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 12:22 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 08:46 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 01:46 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 3 | 11:35 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 3 | 14:42 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 3 | 02:55 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 09:22 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 01:50 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |