Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 51.0% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 20-15 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Mitchell 84.8%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 73.7%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 73.2%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 77.4%
77.4%
22.6%
Mitchell
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
20
(35 meetings)
15
20
Mitchell
Gaustad
Last 10: Mitchell 4-6 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
7
5
Mitchell
Gaustad
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
11
Mitchell
Gaustad
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
7
4
Mitchell
Gaustad
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (2,965)
58.2% (4,334)
-6.4%
Power Play
54.1% (196)
65.4% (188)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (401)
54.8% (1,290)
-10.7%
On power play, Gaustad has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,298).
Mitchell shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Gaustad
Home
54.4% (1,806)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
47.6% (1,756)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Mitchell
Gaustad
P1
52.0%
58.2%
P2
49.9%
56.4%
P3
50.9%
58.3%
OT
69.2%
66.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2016 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 1 | 13:53 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 1 | 07:44 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 12:55 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 2 | 18:16 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 2 | 11:28 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 19:43 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 11:35 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 02:31 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 04:39 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 6, 2013 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 6, 2013 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |