Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 50.8% vs Gaustad 55.9% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 89.8%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 73.9%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 56.4%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Mitchell
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Mitchell
Gaustad
Last 6: Mitchell 2-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
0
Mitchell
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
3
Mitchell
Gaustad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Mitchell
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (666)
57.7% (821)
-6.5%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
56.3% (16)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (47)
52.3% (260)
-3.4%
On power play, Gaustad has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Mitchell shoots left. Gaustad is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Gaustad
Home
51.7% (360)
58.9% (577)
Away
50.1% (375)
53.7% (520)
By Period
Mitchell
Gaustad
P1
50.2%
53.1%
P2
49.4%
57.9%
P3
51.9%
57.8%
OT
75.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 12:55 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 2 | 18:16 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 2 | 11:28 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 19:43 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |