Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 49.1% vs Gaustad 57.4% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 95.9%
Defensive zone
Tavares 60.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 82.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Tavares
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Tavares
Gaustad
Last 10: Tavares 2-8 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Gaustad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
8
Tavares
Gaustad
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Tavares
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (871)
59.3% (913)
-10.6%
Power Play
49.8% (243)
72.2% (18)
-22.4%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
52.8% (269)
+7.2%
On power play, Gaustad has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Tavares is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (768).
Tavares shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Tavares
Gaustad
Home
50.0% (542)
58.6% (604)
Away
48.2% (587)
57.4% (596)
By Period
Tavares
Gaustad
P1
52.2%
61.5%
P2
50.0%
55.7%
P3
45.1%
56.6%
OT
48.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.1%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 14:32 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 19:15 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 16:35 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 14:44 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 10:53 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 3 | 07:13 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 3 | 06:49 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 3 | 05:57 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 2 | 04:21 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |