Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.1% vs Gaustad 57.4% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 89.9%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 55.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 63.2%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Staal
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Staal
Gaustad
Last 5: Staal 0-5 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
4
Staal
Gaustad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Staal
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,171)
59.3% (913)
-4.0%
Power Play
56.6% (173)
72.2% (18)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (133)
52.8% (269)
-9.9%
On power play, Gaustad has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Staal is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (972).
Staal shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Staal
Gaustad
Home
54.7% (720)
58.6% (604)
Away
54.0% (757)
57.4% (596)
By Period
Staal
Gaustad
P1
51.2%
61.5%
P2
57.4%
55.7%
P3
54.6%
56.6%
OT
52.2%
75.0%
Final 5 min
59.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2014 | 3 | 06:46 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 2 | 18:02 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 2 | 14:28 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |