Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.6% vs 55.3%). Look for Gaustad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Glendening wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 54.2% vs Gaustad 54.7% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Glendening 68.4%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 68.3%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 60.7%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Glendening
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Glendening
Gaustad
Last 5: Glendening 1-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Glendening
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Glendening
Gaustad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
2
Glendening
Gaustad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (771)
56.2% (603)
+2.4%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
71.4% (21)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (340)
49.3% (148)
-3.7%
On power play, Gaustad has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Glendening is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (702).
Glendening shoots right. Gaustad is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Home / Away
Glendening
Gaustad
Home
58.1% (582)
55.5% (366)
Away
50.8% (543)
55.2% (406)
By Period
Glendening
Gaustad
P1
57.0%
55.0%
P2
53.2%
56.9%
P3
53.8%
53.7%
OT
42.9%
62.5%
Final 5 min
52.4%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
54.6%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2015 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 3 | 02:32 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 1 | 01:40 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 17:13 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |