Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 50.5% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Kruger 75.7%
Defensive zone
Kruger 87.6%
Neutral zone
Kruger 73.7%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Kruger
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
13
(20 meetings)
7
13
Kruger
Gaustad
Last 10: Kruger 3-7 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
6
2
Kruger
Gaustad
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
7
Kruger
Gaustad
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
4
Kruger
Gaustad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (3,509)
58.2% (4,334)
-5.8%
Power Play
46.5% (99)
65.4% (188)
-18.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (860)
54.8% (1,290)
-11.9%
On power play, Gaustad has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Kruger is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,762).
Kruger shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Kruger
Gaustad
Home
52.7% (2,242)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
48.3% (2,231)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Kruger
Gaustad
P1
49.7%
58.2%
P2
49.7%
56.4%
P3
52.1%
58.3%
OT
53.2%
66.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.5%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2015 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 10:45 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 2 | 02:19 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 08:57 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 01:29 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 12:19 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 07:28 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 18:49 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 12:27 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 09:00 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 08:51 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 12:58 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 3 | 14:17 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 10:52 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 08:11 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 08:46 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |