Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 50.6% vs Gaustad 57.4% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lapierre 73.6%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 57.1%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 54.8%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Lapierre
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lapierre
Gaustad
Last 7: Lapierre 2-5 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
0
Lapierre
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
3
Lapierre
Gaustad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
2
Lapierre
Gaustad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (527)
59.3% (913)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (66)
52.8% (269)
-21.0%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Lapierre is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Lapierre shoots right. Gaustad is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Gaustad
Home
51.8% (309)
58.6% (604)
Away
49.6% (284)
57.4% (596)
By Period
Lapierre
Gaustad
P1
51.0%
61.5%
P2
57.2%
55.7%
P3
44.1%
56.6%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
50.8%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 10:06 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 02:02 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 03:02 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 07:37 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 1 | 01:18 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 1 | 01:09 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 1 | 01:02 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |