Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lapierre on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 52.1% vs Gaustad 55.9% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lapierre 83.9%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 57.8%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 51.7%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Lapierre
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Lapierre
Gaustad
Last 8: Lapierre 3-5 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
3
1
Lapierre
Gaustad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Lapierre
Gaustad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Lapierre
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (440)
57.7% (821)
-3.8%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
56.3% (16)
+23.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (137)
52.3% (260)
-5.6%
On power play, Lapierre has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Lapierre is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Lapierre shoots right. Gaustad is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Gaustad
Home
59.2% (260)
58.9% (577)
Away
46.9% (322)
53.7% (520)
By Period
Lapierre
Gaustad
P1
52.0%
53.1%
P2
51.5%
57.9%
P3
53.3%
57.8%
OT
75.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
52.4%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2015 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 3 | 18:44 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 1 | 05:21 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 1 | 01:49 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 3 | 10:43 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 13:06 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 09:17 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |