Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Zibanejad wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 46.9% vs Gaustad 57.4% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 83.2%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 90.0%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 52.7%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Zibanejad
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Zibanejad
Gaustad
Last 5: Zibanejad 2-3 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Zibanejad
Gaustad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (334)
59.3% (913)
-10.5%
Power Play
36.4% (55)
72.2% (18)
-35.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (8)
52.8% (269)
-52.8%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Zibanejad is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Zibanejad shoots right. Gaustad is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Gaustad
Home
47.3% (203)
58.6% (604)
Away
44.8% (194)
57.4% (596)
By Period
Zibanejad
Gaustad
P1
44.8%
61.5%
P2
44.8%
55.7%
P3
49.5%
56.6%
OT
44.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
42.4%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.1%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 17:32 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 1 | 05:01 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 3 | 08:03 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 2 | 15:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |