Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 48.9% vs Gaustad 55.9% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 96.1%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 51.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 64.9%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Zibanejad
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Zibanejad
Gaustad
Last 10: Zibanejad 3-7 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
1
Zibanejad
Gaustad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
7
Zibanejad
Gaustad
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Zibanejad
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (1,031)
57.7% (821)
-8.6%
Power Play
47.5% (200)
56.3% (16)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
52.3% (260)
-5.6%
On power play, Gaustad has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (834).
Zibanejad shoots right. Gaustad is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Gaustad
Home
52.0% (658)
58.9% (577)
Away
45.3% (603)
53.7% (520)
By Period
Zibanejad
Gaustad
P1
48.0%
53.1%
P2
53.2%
57.9%
P3
45.8%
57.8%
OT
41.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
48.8%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 05:03 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 06:44 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 03:17 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 11:24 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 05:55 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 17:45 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 03:16 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |