Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 50.4% vs Gaustad 54.7% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 94.9%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 68.5%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 59.6%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Zibanejad
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Zibanejad
Gaustad
Last 9: Zibanejad 2-7 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
0
Zibanejad
Gaustad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
7
Zibanejad
Gaustad
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,073)
56.2% (603)
-5.4%
Power Play
52.5% (118)
71.4% (21)
-18.9%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (115)
49.3% (148)
-4.1%
On power play, Gaustad has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (863).
Zibanejad shoots right. Gaustad is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Gaustad
Home
52.9% (682)
55.5% (366)
Away
47.8% (624)
55.2% (406)
By Period
Zibanejad
Gaustad
P1
47.5%
55.0%
P2
52.8%
56.9%
P3
51.4%
53.7%
OT
45.8%
62.5%
Final 5 min
48.9%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 08:20 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 11:46 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 17:53 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |