Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (94% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.9% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 20-8 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 93.9%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 51.9%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 77.4%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Zibanejad
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
20
(28 meetings)
8
20
Zibanejad
Gaustad
Last 10: Zibanejad 2-8 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
6
1
Zibanejad
Gaustad
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
16
Zibanejad
Gaustad
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
3
Zibanejad
Gaustad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,719)
58.2% (4,334)
-7.3%
Power Play
52.2% (1,849)
65.4% (188)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (1,790)
54.8% (1,290)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (10,678).
Zibanejad shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Gaustad
Home
51.6% (7,566)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
48.3% (7,793)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Zibanejad
Gaustad
P1
50.4%
58.2%
P2
49.7%
56.4%
P3
49.8%
58.3%
OT
48.7%
66.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 08:20 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 11:46 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 17:53 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 05:03 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 06:44 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 03:17 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 11:24 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 05:55 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |