Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.8% vs Gaustad 59.0% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaustad 52.4%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 87.5%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 84.7%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Richards
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Richards
Gaustad
Last 10: Richards 6-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
5
2
Richards
Gaustad
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
4
1
Richards
Gaustad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Richards
Gaustad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (943)
58.6% (790)
-10.7%
Power Play
61.1% (157)
66.7% (93)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (102)
61.0% (269)
-8.1%
On even strength, Gaustad has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Richards is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (768).
Richards shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Richards
Gaustad
Home
50.9% (617)
60.6% (554)
Away
48.7% (599)
58.9% (604)
By Period
Richards
Gaustad
P1
45.4%
61.3%
P2
52.5%
55.5%
P3
51.3%
62.3%
OT
55.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.8%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 11:36 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 06:12 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 2 | 11:23 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 1 | 12:35 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 3 | 05:32 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 1 | 06:48 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 3 | 06:27 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 1 | 07:16 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Mike Richards |