Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Santorelli 50.2% vs Gaustad 59.0% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Santorelli 79.5%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 56.5%
Neutral zone
Santorelli 65.1%
Result
Mike Santorelli favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Santorelli
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Santorelli
Gaustad
Last 10: Santorelli 3-7 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Santorelli
Gaustad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
3
Santorelli
Gaustad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
3
Santorelli
Gaustad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Santorelli
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (754)
58.6% (790)
-9.9%
Power Play
57.9% (183)
66.7% (93)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (87)
61.0% (269)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Santorelli is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (704).
Santorelli shoots right. Gaustad is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Santorelli
Gaustad
Home
50.0% (502)
60.6% (554)
Away
50.4% (530)
58.9% (604)
By Period
Santorelli
Gaustad
P1
53.4%
61.3%
P2
50.4%
55.5%
P3
46.9%
62.3%
OT
53.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.2%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2011 | 3 | 11:15 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 3 | 08:18 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 3 | 08:09 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 10, 2011 | OT | 03:49 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 3 | 17:52 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 2 | 19:35 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 1 | 09:16 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 1 | 06:06 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 1 | 10:22 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 1 | 00:15 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 17, 2010 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |