Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 56.1% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-1.4%)
Offensive zone
Sturm 63.9%
Defensive zone
Sturm 56.1%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 55.0%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Sturm
Gaustad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,719)
58.2% (4,334)
-1.1%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
65.4% (188)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (498)
54.8% (1,290)
-3.8%
On power play, Gaustad has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Sturm shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Sturm
Gaustad
Home
57.1% (1,614)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
55.4% (1,665)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Sturm
Gaustad
P1
56.5%
58.2%
P2
54.9%
56.4%
P3
57.4%
58.3%
OT
60.6%
66.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%