Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Antropov wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Antropov 45.3% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-12.7%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Antropov 94.6%
Defensive zone
Antropov 80.5%
Neutral zone
Antropov 88.9%
Result
Nik Antropov favored at 87.3%
87.3%
12.7%
Antropov
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
14
(21 meetings)
7
14
Antropov
Gaustad
Last 10: Antropov 4-6 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
4
Antropov
Gaustad
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
6
Antropov
Gaustad
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
3
4
Antropov
Gaustad
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Antropov
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (1,209)
58.2% (4,334)
-12.5%
Power Play
45.5% (191)
65.4% (188)
-19.9%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (77)
54.8% (1,290)
-15.8%
On power play, Gaustad has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Antropov is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Antropov shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Antropov
Gaustad
Home
48.0% (704)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
42.4% (786)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Antropov
Gaustad
P1
42.8%
58.2%
P2
47.0%
56.4%
P3
45.6%
58.3%
OT
38.5%
66.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Antropov
42.0%▲
39.0%
45.0%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Nik Antropov |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Nik Antropov |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 01:07 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 1 | 06:29 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 1 | 01:11 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 3 | 14:15 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 3 | 11:04 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 05:46 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 00:19 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 3 | 16:44 | Defensive | Nik Antropov |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 2 | 11:14 | Offensive | Nik Antropov |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 1 | 10:55 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 1 | 10:45 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 1 | 05:21 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 20, 2010 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 20, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |