Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kane wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kane 43.3% vs Gaustad 56.7% (-15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kane 92.8%
Defensive zone
Kane 70.6%
Neutral zone
Kane 78.8%
Result
Patrick Kane favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Kane
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Kane
Gaustad
Last 7: Kane 1-6 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kane
Gaustad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
4
Kane
Gaustad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Kane
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kane
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (525)
57.8% (854)
-16.7%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
56.0% (25)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
55.1% (263)
+24.9%
On penalty kill, Kane has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Kane is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Kane shoots left. Gaustad is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Home / Away
Kane
Gaustad
Home
43.4% (288)
61.3% (633)
Away
40.9% (281)
52.4% (517)
By Period
Kane
Gaustad
P1
46.9%
57.9%
P2
38.6%
55.3%
P3
41.5%
58.3%
OT
26.7%
64.3%
Final 5 min
44.4%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kane
38.0%▲
27.0%
42.2%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 08:01 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Patrick Kane |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 06:14 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 13:38 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 02:40 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |