Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 27 meetings). Gaustad wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 57.6% vs Stastny 55.1% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 30-19 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 81.2%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 81.9%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 58.0%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Gaustad
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
19
(49 meetings)
30
19
Gaustad
Stastny
Last 10: Gaustad 7-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
14
Gaustad
Stastny
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
22
5
Gaustad
Stastny
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
7
0
Gaustad
Stastny
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (4,334)
54.6% (10,616)
+3.6%
Power Play
65.4% (188)
59.1% (1,994)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (1,290)
52.9% (1,119)
+1.9%
On power play, Gaustad has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Gaustad shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Stastny
Home
59.5% (2,929)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
55.9% (2,897)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Gaustad
Stastny
P1
58.2%
56.3%
P2
56.4%
55.4%
P3
58.3%
53.5%
OT
66.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
57.8%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 10:44 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 08:46 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 08:40 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 10:54 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 00:29 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 2 | 19:42 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 2 | 13:11 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 2 | 13:08 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 2 | 09:25 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 07:33 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 00:14 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 16:20 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 04:01 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 2 | 06:30 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 3 | 19:24 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 2 | 07:51 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 3 | 07:53 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |