Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Datsyuk on offensive-zone draws (95% H2H, 20 meetings). Gaustad wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Datsyuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 57.6% vs Datsyuk 54.4% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Datsyuk leads 32-25 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Datsyuk 89.5%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 58.6%
Neutral zone
Datsyuk 63.5%
Result
Pavel Datsyuk favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Gaustad
Datsyuk
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
32
(57 meetings)
25
32
Gaustad
Datsyuk
Last 10: Gaustad 5-5 Datsyuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Datsyuk
1
19
Gaustad
Datsyuk
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
18
6
Gaustad
Datsyuk
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Datsyuk
6
7
Gaustad
Datsyuk
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Datsyuk
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (4,334)
53.3% (4,336)
+4.9%
Power Play
65.4% (188)
58.8% (1,120)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (1,290)
55.8% (505)
-1.0%
On power play, Gaustad has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Datsyuk shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Gaustad shoots left. Datsyuk is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,837).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Datsyuk
Home
59.5% (2,929)
55.9% (2,962)
Away
55.9% (2,897)
53.0% (3,032)
By Period
Gaustad
Datsyuk
P1
58.2%
54.1%
P2
56.4%
54.4%
P3
58.3%
54.8%
OT
66.0%
56.2%
Final 5 min
57.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Datsyuk
46.0%▼
55.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2015 | 2 | 16:36 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 5, 2015 | OT | 01:01 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 17:09 | Defensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 14:04 | Offensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 08:03 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 03:50 | Neutral | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 03:40 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 00:27 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 00:14 | Neutral | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 09:01 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 02:01 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 1 | 13:13 | Defensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 1 | 13:05 | Defensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 09:42 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 08:07 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 05:24 | Offensive | Pavel Datsyuk |