Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.7% vs 58.0%). Look for Peverley on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 19 meetings). Gaustad wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 57.6% vs Peverley 57.7% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Peverley leads 24-9 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Peverley 62.7%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 70.8%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 63.5%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Gaustad
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
24
(33 meetings)
9
24
Gaustad
Peverley
Last 10: Gaustad 1-9 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
2
17
Gaustad
Peverley
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
3
5
Gaustad
Peverley
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
4
2
Gaustad
Peverley
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (4,334)
58.0% (1,715)
+0.2%
Power Play
65.4% (188)
57.0% (391)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (1,290)
59.2% (333)
-4.4%
On power play, Gaustad has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Gaustad shoots left. Peverley is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,710).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Peverley
Home
59.5% (2,929)
58.1% (1,266)
Away
55.9% (2,897)
57.9% (1,182)
By Period
Gaustad
Peverley
P1
58.2%
59.6%
P2
56.4%
57.8%
P3
58.3%
57.0%
OT
66.0%
51.3%
Final 5 min
57.8%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2014 | 3 | 05:11 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 3 | 05:05 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 07:14 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 1 | 19:37 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 1 | 10:10 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 18:05 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 2 | 19:31 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 12:39 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 2 | 10:11 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |