Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Peverley on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaustad wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 56.7% vs Peverley 58.6% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Peverley 66.7%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 72.5%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 56.1%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Gaustad
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Gaustad
Peverley
Last 9: Gaustad 4-5 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
3
Gaustad
Peverley
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
1
Gaustad
Peverley
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
1
Gaustad
Peverley
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (854)
59.2% (223)
-1.4%
Power Play
56.0% (25)
61.1% (54)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (263)
68.5% (54)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Gaustad is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (416).
Gaustad shoots left. Peverley is 63.0% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Peverley
Home
61.3% (633)
54.0% (161)
Away
52.4% (517)
67.8% (171)
By Period
Gaustad
Peverley
P1
57.9%
65.0%
P2
55.3%
53.0%
P3
58.3%
65.5%
OT
64.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.2%
67.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 12:39 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 2 | 10:11 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 1 | 19:08 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |