Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Gaustad wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Shannon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 57.6% vs Shannon 45.8% (+13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaustad 50.6%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 92.5%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 88.8%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 89.9%
89.9%
10.1%
Gaustad
Shannon
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Gaustad
Shannon
Last 7: Gaustad 6-1 Shannon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
0
Gaustad
Shannon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
4
1
Gaustad
Shannon
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Shannon
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (4,334)
44.1% (229)
+14.1%
Power Play
65.4% (188)
62.5% (8)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (1,290)
37.5% (8)
+17.3%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shannon shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Gaustad shoots left. Shannon is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (164).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Shannon
Home
59.5% (2,929)
51.0% (98)
Away
55.9% (2,897)
39.6% (149)
By Period
Gaustad
Shannon
P1
58.2%
46.1%
P2
56.4%
42.5%
P3
58.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
57.8%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Shannon
52.0%▲
44.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2011 | 3 | 14:35 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 2 | 09:39 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 05:40 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 02:40 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Shannon |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 3 | 07:35 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |