Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +17.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Gaustad wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — Shannon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 59.0% vs Shannon 44.6% (+17.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaustad 59.2%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 95.5%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 87.1%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 89.5%
89.5%
10.5%
Gaustad
Shannon
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Gaustad
Shannon
Last 7: Gaustad 6-1 Shannon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
0
Gaustad
Shannon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
4
1
Gaustad
Shannon
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Shannon
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (790)
42.6% (197)
+16.0%
Power Play
66.7% (93)
100.0% (2)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
61.0% (269)
16.7% (6)
+44.3%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +44.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shannon shoots right. Gaustad is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (391).
Gaustad shoots left. Shannon is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Shannon
Home
60.6% (554)
52.0% (75)
Away
58.9% (604)
36.4% (132)
By Period
Gaustad
Shannon
P1
61.3%
43.7%
P2
55.5%
40.0%
P3
62.3%
42.1%
Final 5 min
58.8%
35.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.8%
Shannon
52.0%▲
44.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2011 | 3 | 14:35 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 2 | 09:39 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 05:40 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 02:40 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Shannon |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 3 | 07:35 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |