Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Gaustad wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Pahlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 59.0% vs Pahlsson 51.9% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaustad 83.0%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 51.5%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 80.9%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 80.9%
80.9%
19.1%
Gaustad
Pahlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Gaustad
Pahlsson
Last 5: Gaustad 4-1 Pahlsson
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
4
1
Gaustad
Pahlsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (790)
51.8% (934)
+6.8%
Power Play
66.7% (93)
57.9% (19)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
61.0% (269)
52.4% (332)
+8.6%
On power play, Gaustad has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Gaustad shoots left. Pahlsson is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (958).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Pahlsson
Home
60.6% (554)
56.5% (628)
Away
58.9% (604)
47.8% (670)
By Period
Gaustad
Pahlsson
P1
61.3%
55.9%
P2
55.5%
49.4%
P3
62.3%
50.8%
OT
75.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
58.8%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.8%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2011 | 2 | 16:32 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 2 | 14:18 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 2 | 19:51 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |