Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 22 meetings). Gaustad wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gomez shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 57.6% vs Gomez 48.2% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 32-30 in 62 meetings
Offensive zone
Gomez 84.4%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 76.4%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 62.3%
Result
Scott Gomez favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Gaustad
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
30
(62 meetings)
32
30
Gaustad
Gomez
Last 10: Gaustad 5-5 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gomez
7
18
Gaustad
Gomez
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
19
3
Gaustad
Gomez
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gomez
6
9
Gaustad
Gomez
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (4,334)
47.9% (2,814)
+10.3%
Power Play
65.4% (188)
50.6% (516)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (1,290)
36.5% (74)
+18.3%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Gaustad shoots left. Gomez is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,196).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Gomez
Home
59.5% (2,929)
49.8% (1,767)
Away
55.9% (2,897)
46.3% (1,667)
By Period
Gaustad
Gomez
P1
58.2%
48.6%
P2
56.4%
48.2%
P3
58.3%
47.5%
OT
66.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 15:49 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 08:13 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 05:28 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 01:26 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 2 | 12:11 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 2 | 02:30 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 1 | 13:34 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 15:50 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 10:09 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 19:02 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 04:36 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 3 | 10:30 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 2 | 18:28 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 2 | 13:36 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 2 | 13:15 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 14:52 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |