Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gomez on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Gaustad wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gomez shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 56.7% vs Gomez 49.7% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Gomez leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Gomez 88.5%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 69.7%
Neutral zone
Gomez 68.1%
Result
Scott Gomez favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
Gaustad
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Gaustad
Gomez
Last 10: Gaustad 5-5 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gomez
0
6
Gaustad
Gomez
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
3
0
Gaustad
Gomez
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Gaustad
Gomez
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (854)
50.4% (270)
+7.4%
Power Play
56.0% (25)
50.0% (50)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (263)
25.0% (4)
+30.1%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +30.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. Gaustad is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Gaustad shoots left. Gomez is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Gomez
Home
61.3% (633)
48.3% (178)
Away
52.4% (517)
51.0% (155)
By Period
Gaustad
Gomez
P1
57.9%
52.3%
P2
55.3%
47.0%
P3
58.3%
50.0%
OT
64.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.2%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2012 | 3 | 12:22 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 3 | 11:55 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 3 | 06:04 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Nov 14, 2011 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Nov 14, 2011 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 09:16 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 09:07 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 1 | 18:07 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 1 | 12:03 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |