Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaustad wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gomez shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 57.9% vs Gomez 54.5% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gomez 80.3%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 79.0%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 61.1%
Result
Scott Gomez favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Gaustad
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Gaustad
Gomez
Last 7: Gaustad 4-3 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
1
Gaustad
Gomez
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
0
Gaustad
Gomez
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gomez
0
2
Gaustad
Gomez
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (353)
56.7% (261)
+3.1%
Power Play
66.7% (15)
52.4% (63)
+14.3%
On power play, Gaustad has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. Gaustad is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Gaustad shoots left. Gomez is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Gomez
Home
62.1% (195)
58.4% (178)
Away
57.9% (254)
52.7% (146)
By Period
Gaustad
Gomez
P1
59.4%
53.4%
P2
58.1%
51.9%
P3
61.3%
60.4%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.7%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2013 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 3 | 10:30 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 2 | 18:28 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 2 | 13:36 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 2 | 13:15 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 14:52 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 07:42 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |