Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaustad wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gomez shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 57.4% vs Gomez 47.0% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gomez 60.2%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 93.2%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 83.8%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Gaustad
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Gaustad
Gomez
Last 5: Gaustad 4-1 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaustad
Gomez
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
3
0
Gaustad
Gomez
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
59.3% (913)
44.7% (452)
+14.6%
Power Play
72.2% (18)
58.6% (58)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (269)
60.0% (5)
-7.2%
On even strength, Gaustad has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Gaustad shoots left. Gomez is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Gomez
Home
58.6% (604)
47.6% (252)
Away
57.4% (596)
45.2% (263)
By Period
Gaustad
Gomez
P1
61.5%
45.1%
P2
55.7%
50.3%
P3
56.6%
43.4%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 15:50 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 10:09 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 19:02 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 04:36 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |