Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gomez on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaustad wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gomez shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 55.9% vs Gomez 47.0% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gomez 94.9%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 72.9%
Neutral zone
Gomez 76.3%
Result
Scott Gomez favored at 81.3%
18.7%
81.3%
Gaustad
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Gaustad
Gomez
Last 5: Gaustad 1-4 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gomez
0
4
Gaustad
Gomez
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
0
Gaustad
Gomez
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (821)
46.4% (676)
+11.3%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
48.6% (105)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
52.3% (260)
28.6% (7)
+23.7%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. Gaustad is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Gaustad shoots left. Gomez is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Gomez
Home
58.9% (577)
46.5% (417)
Away
53.7% (520)
46.6% (371)
By Period
Gaustad
Gomez
P1
53.1%
46.7%
P2
57.9%
45.1%
P3
57.8%
48.1%
OT
60.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2015 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 2 | 12:11 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 2 | 02:30 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 1 | 13:34 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |