Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Gaustad wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 57.6% vs Couturier 52.6% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 89.2%
Defensive zone
Couturier 52.8%
Neutral zone
Couturier 64.7%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 70.5%
29.5%
70.5%
Gaustad
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Gaustad
Couturier
Last 10: Gaustad 2-8 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
4
Gaustad
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
3
Gaustad
Couturier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
3
1
Gaustad
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (4,334)
52.4% (10,929)
+5.8%
Power Play
65.4% (188)
59.9% (1,276)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (1,290)
48.7% (1,777)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Gaustad shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,821).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Couturier
Home
59.5% (2,929)
53.4% (7,054)
Away
55.9% (2,897)
51.8% (6,935)
By Period
Gaustad
Couturier
P1
58.2%
52.5%
P2
56.4%
52.5%
P3
58.3%
53.0%
OT
66.0%
49.6%
Final 5 min
57.8%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 16, 2014 | OT | 04:56 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 09:40 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 2 | 16:50 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 1 | 05:46 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 16, 2012 | 2 | 13:48 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 16, 2012 | 1 | 09:30 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 16, 2012 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 2, 2011 | 1 | 01:43 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |