Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Gaustad wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 57.4% vs Crosby 52.4% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 89.4%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 63.1%
Neutral zone
Crosby 69.3%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Gaustad
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Gaustad
Crosby
Last 10: Gaustad 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
8
Gaustad
Crosby
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
4
3
Gaustad
Crosby
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
59.3% (913)
50.9% (1,345)
+8.4%
Power Play
72.2% (18)
59.5% (439)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (269)
44.7% (103)
+8.1%
On power play, Gaustad has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Gaustad shoots left. Crosby is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,180).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Crosby
Home
58.6% (604)
53.9% (941)
Away
57.4% (596)
51.2% (946)
By Period
Gaustad
Crosby
P1
61.5%
49.3%
P2
55.7%
54.5%
P3
56.6%
53.9%
OT
75.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
56.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2014 | 3 | 12:06 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 1 | 10:37 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 1 | 10:31 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 1 | 08:11 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 1 | 04:44 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 1 | 03:16 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 11:26 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 15:17 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |