Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaustad wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Selanne shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 57.9% vs Selanne 50.4% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Selanne 73.7%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 94.4%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 77.2%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Gaustad
Selanne
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Gaustad
Selanne
Last 6: Gaustad 4-2 Selanne
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Selanne
0
2
Gaustad
Selanne
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
4
0
Gaustad
Selanne
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Selanne
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (353)
42.6% (115)
+17.2%
Power Play
66.7% (15)
67.9% (53)
-1.2%
On even strength, Gaustad has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Selanne shoots right. Gaustad is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Gaustad shoots left. Selanne is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Selanne
Home
62.1% (195)
50.6% (83)
Away
57.9% (254)
50.6% (85)
By Period
Gaustad
Selanne
P1
59.4%
44.3%
P2
58.1%
55.6%
P3
61.3%
54.8%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.7%
Selanne
36.0%▼
46.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 15:20 | Offensive | Teemu Selanne |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 07:01 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | Teemu Selanne |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 06:28 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |