Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Brent on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Gaustad wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Brent shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 57.6% vs Brent 50.7% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Brent 68.1%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 69.2%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 62.6%
Result
Tim Brent favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Gaustad
Brent
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Gaustad
Brent
Last 10: Gaustad 6-4 Brent
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brent
2
4
Gaustad
Brent
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
3
1
Gaustad
Brent
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
0
Gaustad
Brent
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Brent
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (4,334)
50.2% (1,234)
+8.0%
Power Play
65.4% (188)
58.2% (91)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (1,290)
51.7% (267)
+3.1%
On even strength, Gaustad has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brent shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Gaustad shoots left. Brent is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,058).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Brent
Home
59.5% (2,929)
51.6% (779)
Away
55.9% (2,897)
50.0% (820)
By Period
Gaustad
Brent
P1
58.2%
54.2%
P2
56.4%
49.3%
P3
58.3%
48.8%
OT
66.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.8%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Brent
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2012 | 3 | 13:32 | Offensive | Tim Brent |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 3 | 11:37 | Offensive | Tim Brent |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 3 | 01:11 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 2 | 12:14 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 2 | 00:49 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 18, 2011 | 3 | 06:51 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 08:01 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 07:34 | Offensive | Tim Brent |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Tim Brent |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 1 | 02:45 | Defensive | Tim Brent |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |