Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 26 meetings). Gaustad wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 57.6% vs Plekanec 50.1% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 34-23 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Plekanec 60.3%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 84.6%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 76.8%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Gaustad
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
23
(57 meetings)
34
23
Gaustad
Plekanec
Last 10: Gaustad 9-1 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
4
13
Gaustad
Plekanec
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
20
6
Gaustad
Plekanec
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
10
4
Gaustad
Plekanec
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (4,334)
50.8% (8,558)
+7.4%
Power Play
65.4% (188)
51.3% (1,151)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (1,290)
46.0% (1,924)
+8.8%
On power play, Gaustad has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Gaustad shoots left. Plekanec is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,049).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Plekanec
Home
59.5% (2,929)
51.1% (5,909)
Away
55.9% (2,897)
49.1% (5,818)
By Period
Gaustad
Plekanec
P1
58.2%
52.5%
P2
56.4%
48.9%
P3
58.3%
49.0%
OT
66.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
57.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2016 | 2 | 18:51 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 2 | 05:18 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 1 | 03:16 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 2 | 08:32 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 20, 2015 | OT | 02:34 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 3 | 00:26 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 18:09 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 16:38 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 12:13 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 06:20 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |