Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Gaustad wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 59.0% vs Plekanec 50.0% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaustad 58.3%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 89.5%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 88.0%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Gaustad
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
5
(17 meetings)
12
5
Gaustad
Plekanec
Last 10: Gaustad 7-3 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
3
4
Gaustad
Plekanec
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
7
1
Gaustad
Plekanec
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
0
Gaustad
Plekanec
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (790)
51.0% (1,016)
+7.6%
Power Play
66.7% (93)
49.0% (206)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
61.0% (269)
46.3% (307)
+14.7%
On power play, Gaustad has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Gaustad shoots left. Plekanec is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (945).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Plekanec
Home
60.6% (554)
53.3% (836)
Away
58.9% (604)
46.2% (741)
By Period
Gaustad
Plekanec
P1
61.3%
54.4%
P2
55.5%
44.5%
P3
62.3%
50.4%
OT
75.0%
68.2%
Final 5 min
58.8%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.8%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2011 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 2 | 05:28 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 3 | 04:39 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 3 | 02:12 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 3 | 08:46 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 1 | 17:27 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 2 | 17:35 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 2 | 07:18 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 2 | 07:01 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 1 | 03:16 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |