Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaustad wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 55.9% vs Plekanec 49.9% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Plekanec 85.7%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 93.7%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 74.6%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Gaustad
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Gaustad
Plekanec
Last 6: Gaustad 4-2 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
2
Gaustad
Plekanec
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
3
0
Gaustad
Plekanec
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
0
Gaustad
Plekanec
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (821)
50.8% (1,214)
+6.9%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
50.5% (190)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
52.3% (260)
41.8% (153)
+10.5%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Gaustad is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Gaustad shoots left. Plekanec is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (965).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Plekanec
Home
58.9% (577)
52.1% (760)
Away
53.7% (520)
47.8% (797)
By Period
Gaustad
Plekanec
P1
53.1%
51.3%
P2
57.9%
47.2%
P3
57.8%
51.9%
OT
60.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2015 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 20, 2015 | OT | 02:34 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 3 | 00:26 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |