Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaustad wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 54.7% vs Plekanec 49.8% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Plekanec 82.7%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 92.6%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 74.8%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 83.7%
83.7%
16.3%
Gaustad
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Gaustad
Plekanec
Last 8: Gaustad 7-1 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
3
1
Gaustad
Plekanec
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
4
0
Gaustad
Plekanec
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (603)
49.8% (1,199)
+6.4%
Power Play
71.4% (21)
51.7% (240)
+19.7%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (148)
47.2% (176)
+2.1%
On power play, Gaustad has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Gaustad is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Gaustad shoots left. Plekanec is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Plekanec
Home
55.5% (366)
48.9% (807)
Away
55.2% (406)
50.6% (808)
By Period
Gaustad
Plekanec
P1
55.0%
52.2%
P2
56.9%
49.4%
P3
53.7%
47.4%
OT
62.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.1%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2016 | 2 | 18:51 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 2 | 05:18 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 1 | 03:16 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 2 | 08:32 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |