Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). Gaustad wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 57.6% vs Zajac 54.2% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 15-13 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Zajac 79.3%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 69.1%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 53.0%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Gaustad
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
13
(28 meetings)
15
13
Gaustad
Zajac
Last 10: Gaustad 4-6 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
9
Gaustad
Zajac
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
10
1
Gaustad
Zajac
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
4
3
Gaustad
Zajac
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (4,334)
54.4% (9,056)
+3.8%
Power Play
65.4% (188)
59.1% (1,498)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (1,290)
48.6% (1,599)
+6.2%
On power play, Gaustad has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Gaustad shoots left. Zajac is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,183).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Zajac
Home
59.5% (2,929)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
55.9% (2,897)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Gaustad
Zajac
P1
58.2%
53.8%
P2
56.4%
55.6%
P3
58.3%
53.6%
OT
66.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
57.8%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2016 | OT | 01:42 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 10:37 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 05:23 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 11:03 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 31, 2014 | 3 | 16:09 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 31, 2014 | 3 | 03:18 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 31, 2014 | 1 | 12:06 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 31, 2014 | 1 | 06:05 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 3 | 12:35 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 1 | 02:26 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |