Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Gaustad wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 57.6% vs Lewis 43.2% (+14.8%)
H2H factor
Lewis leads 11-11 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Lewis 78.3%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 71.1%
Neutral zone
Lewis 51.6%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Gaustad
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
11
(22 meetings)
11
11
Gaustad
Lewis
Last 10: Gaustad 7-3 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
3
4
Gaustad
Lewis
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
6
2
Gaustad
Lewis
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
2
5
Gaustad
Lewis
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (4,334)
43.2% (2,347)
+15.0%
Power Play
65.4% (188)
51.9% (108)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (1,290)
38.6% (365)
+16.2%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Gaustad shoots left. Lewis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,963).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Lewis
Home
59.5% (2,929)
44.1% (1,395)
Away
55.9% (2,897)
41.8% (1,428)
By Period
Gaustad
Lewis
P1
58.2%
42.8%
P2
56.4%
43.9%
P3
58.3%
41.9%
OT
66.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.8%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2015 | OT | 02:04 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 09:25 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 3 | 15:05 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 2 | 14:09 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 08:43 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 10:33 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 1 | 05:56 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 07:13 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 01:56 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 02:40 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 13:09 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 09:14 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 06:14 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 02:37 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |