Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Gaustad wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 57.4% vs Lewis 48.9% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lewis 60.0%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 90.8%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 77.2%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Gaustad
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Gaustad
Lewis
Last 6: Gaustad 4-2 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaustad
Lewis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
0
Gaustad
Lewis
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gaustad
Lewis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
59.3% (913)
48.5% (231)
+10.8%
Power Play
72.2% (18)
25.0% (8)
+47.2%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (269)
56.5% (23)
-3.7%
On power play, Gaustad has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Gaustad is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Gaustad shoots left. Lewis is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Lewis
Home
58.6% (604)
47.5% (118)
Away
57.4% (596)
49.3% (144)
By Period
Gaustad
Lewis
P1
61.5%
44.4%
P2
55.7%
46.2%
P3
56.6%
55.3%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2013 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 2 | 14:09 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 08:43 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 10:33 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |