Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Brouwer on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Gaustad wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Brouwer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 57.6% vs Brouwer 50.5% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brouwer 90.3%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 52.1%
Neutral zone
Brouwer 73.5%
Result
Troy Brouwer favored at 79.0%
21.0%
79.0%
Gaustad
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Gaustad
Brouwer
Last 9: Gaustad 3-6 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
0
6
Gaustad
Brouwer
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
0
Gaustad
Brouwer
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
0
Gaustad
Brouwer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (4,334)
50.3% (702)
+7.9%
Power Play
65.4% (188)
53.7% (551)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (1,290)
46.6% (412)
+8.2%
On power play, Gaustad has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Gaustad shoots left. Brouwer is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,203).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Brouwer
Home
59.5% (2,929)
53.5% (854)
Away
55.9% (2,897)
47.3% (811)
By Period
Gaustad
Brouwer
P1
58.2%
51.4%
P2
56.4%
49.3%
P3
58.3%
51.2%
OT
66.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
57.8%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 08:10 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 3 | 02:10 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 05:39 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 16:30 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 3 | 10:04 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |