Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.4% vs 56.9%). Look for Brouwer on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaustad wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Brouwer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 55.9% vs Brouwer 55.6% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brouwer 86.6%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 85.9%
Neutral zone
Brouwer 55.1%
Result
Troy Brouwer favored at 80.3%
19.7%
80.3%
Gaustad
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Gaustad
Brouwer
Last 5: Gaustad 1-4 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
0
4
Gaustad
Brouwer
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
0
Gaustad
Brouwer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (821)
56.1% (171)
+1.6%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
60.0% (170)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
52.3% (260)
53.0% (100)
-0.7%
On power play, Brouwer has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Gaustad is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Gaustad shoots left. Brouwer is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Brouwer
Home
58.9% (577)
61.8% (225)
Away
53.7% (520)
51.9% (216)
By Period
Gaustad
Brouwer
P1
53.1%
57.8%
P2
57.9%
49.0%
P3
57.8%
65.2%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 3 | 02:10 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 05:39 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |