Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.3% vs 55.6%). Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaustad wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 54.7% vs Seguin 55.0% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 86.2%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 89.1%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 54.1%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Gaustad
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Gaustad
Seguin
Last 10: Gaustad 2-8 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
4
Gaustad
Seguin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
0
Gaustad
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
4
Gaustad
Seguin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (603)
55.9% (789)
+0.3%
Power Play
71.4% (21)
52.1% (48)
+19.3%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (148)
44.4% (9)
+4.9%
On power play, Gaustad has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Gaustad is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Gaustad shoots left. Seguin is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Seguin
Home
55.5% (366)
57.3% (382)
Away
55.2% (406)
54.1% (464)
By Period
Gaustad
Seguin
P1
55.0%
55.1%
P2
56.9%
57.5%
P3
53.7%
53.7%
OT
62.5%
61.1%
Final 5 min
55.1%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 2 | 05:54 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 17:18 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 2 | 09:10 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 2 | 08:56 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 2 | 07:16 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 1 | 11:12 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 2 | 13:58 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |