Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Sobotka on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Gaustad wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Sobotka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 57.4% vs Sobotka 60.6% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sobotka 63.9%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 81.3%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 56.1%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Gaustad
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Gaustad
Sobotka
Last 8: Gaustad 2-6 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
0
5
Gaustad
Sobotka
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
1
Gaustad
Sobotka
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
59.3% (913)
62.0% (637)
-2.7%
Power Play
72.2% (18)
62.6% (91)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (269)
60.0% (85)
-7.2%
On power play, Gaustad has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Gaustad shoots left. Sobotka is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (490).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Sobotka
Home
58.6% (604)
65.8% (371)
Away
57.4% (596)
58.6% (442)
By Period
Gaustad
Sobotka
P1
61.5%
63.0%
P2
55.7%
61.4%
P3
56.6%
60.7%
OT
75.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
64.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 13:48 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 18:18 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 15:49 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 3 | 18:23 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 3 | 18:17 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 2 | 00:51 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 1 | 13:28 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |