Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Steen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Steen wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steen 47.4% vs Stastny 52.1% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 60.6%
Defensive zone
Stastny 85.0%
Neutral zone
Stastny 68.1%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Steen
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Steen
Stastny
Last 6: Steen 4-2 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steen
3
0
Steen
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Steen
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Steen
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steen
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (177)
51.0% (588)
-3.0%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
60.6% (104)
-30.6%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
51.7% (89)
-16.4%
On power play, Stastny has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Steen is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (158).
Steen shoots left. Stastny is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (542).
Home / Away
Steen
Stastny
Home
51.3% (117)
54.0% (400)
Away
39.1% (87)
50.7% (381)
By Period
Steen
Stastny
P1
47.1%
57.8%
P2
43.1%
52.5%
P3
47.8%
47.5%
OT
50.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
41.9%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steen
50.0%▲
46.0%
46.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Steen |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 3 | 16:47 | Offensive | Alexander Steen |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 3 | 05:23 | Offensive | Alexander Steen |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 1 | 12:15 | Offensive | Alexander Steen |