Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Shaw wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 45.1% vs Stastny 52.1% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 87.7%
Defensive zone
Shaw 73.0%
Neutral zone
Shaw 74.5%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 75.1%
75.1%
24.9%
Shaw
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
10
(11 meetings)
1
10
Shaw
Stastny
Last 10: Shaw 1-9 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Shaw
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
4
Shaw
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
5
Shaw
Stastny
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (430)
51.0% (588)
-6.6%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
60.6% (104)
-19.7%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
51.7% (89)
-31.7%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Shaw is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Shaw shoots right. Stastny is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Shaw
Stastny
Home
45.5% (224)
54.0% (400)
Away
42.5% (233)
50.7% (381)
By Period
Shaw
Stastny
P1
39.1%
57.8%
P2
41.7%
52.5%
P3
50.3%
47.5%
OT
0.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
43.2%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 10:27 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 14:40 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 04:33 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 10:34 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 07:08 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 11:48 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 1 | 18:20 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |